Thursday, September 14, 2006

The Pizza Parlor Index

As they say, if you can't beat them, join them...

The BCS Computer Indexes are not going away anytime soon. Therefore rather than lement their existence, I have decided to attempt to do their job better. On Monday, hopefully (you know how I am with promising shit on this blog), I will put out the first "Pizza Parlor Index" which will "grade" each team in Division I-A on a 100 point system broken down as follows:

Winning Percentage 65%- Each teams' Winning Percentage is multiplied by 65 and that number goes towards their PPI. An example, Ohio State is 2-0, therefore their Winning Percentage is 1.000 multiplied by 65. 65 points goes towards their PPI.

Opponents Winning Percentage 20%- Each teams' opponents combined wins and losses will construct Winning Percentage that is multipled by 25 to make up this part of the PPI. Using the same example if Ohio State's opponents 22-22 their Opponents Winning Percentage is .500 multipled by 25. 12.5 points goes towards their PPI.

Opponents Opponents Winning Percentage 10%- This is what is often used to kill schools in the Big East, Mountain West, and WAC which is of course while I have it at such a low value. Each teams' opponents' opponents wins and losses will construct a Winning Percentage that is multiplied by 10 to make up this part of the PPI. Again if Ohio State's opponents opponents are 242-242 their Opponents Opponents Winning Percentage is .500 multipled by 10. 5 points goes towards their PPI

Points Scored For Percentage 5%- Somewhat controversial, but because points for are divided by total points percentage is used to discourage point running up (28-0 and 48-0 are both 100% PSFP). This number is multipled by 5 and goes towards the PPI. For example Ohio State has scored 59 points, its opponents have scored 19. Ohio State has scored 76 percent of total points scored in its games or .76 multipled by 5. 3.8 points would go towards the PPI.

Ohio State's total PPI would be 86.3 out of a possible 100.

This is simpler as it sounds once all the formulas are entered which shouldn't take me beyond this weekend.

Flaws in the Index are no weight on road vs. home games (you can't equate a road game at Michigan to a road game at Temple). Opponents teams have yet to play on their schedule count towards the index (this is done to make the formula entering easier). And of course, "no computer can measure a team's heart".

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1 Comments:

At 10:18 PM , Blogger Paul said...

this is an interesting philosophy. I hope this is one thing you will follow through on. I look forward to reading it and linking it each week.

 

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